Will 2020 be the warmest year on record? Early signs are suggesting that it might be - e.g. May was the warmest May globally, and the forecast is for a hotter than average summer. As month after month breaks temperature records, the question is - at what point will certain areas of the US (and other parts of the world) become unbearable? What can humans tolerate?
Temperatures are inching towards 120 degrees F in the summer in southwest United States, and higher elsewhere in the world. This is incredibly high! [For comparison, at 133 degrees Fahrenheit the coronavirus Covid-19 is killed off after 15 minutes.] While it varies for each species, the general rule for organisms is: "Above a certain temperature, a cell will collapse and die."
A Scientific American article wrote about humans: "So how does heat kill? When core body temperature rises too high, everything breaks down: The gut leaks toxins into the body, cells begin to die, and a devastating inflammatory response can occur."
There are stages to how the body responds: First heat exhaustion occurs. This can be reversed by moving the person to a cool location, loosening clothing, and applying cool, wet wash clothes to the body. But if the person does't get cooled off, then it advances to heat stroke. This is where their core body temperature rises above 104 degrees F (40 degrees C). Heat stroke can trigger seizures, convulsions, coma, and even death.
Another important point: humans can tolerate higher heat if the humidity is low. People cool off by sweating, and if the humidity is high, they can't. So keep all these things in mind when contemplating rising summer heat spells. What will humans eventually do as temperatures keep going up year after year? Mass migrations? Try to cope somehow?
Excerpts from Science News For Students: Explainer: How heat kills
The human body can’t handle excessive heat. The processes that keep us alive work best within a certain temperature window. That’s generally between about 36° and 37° Celsius (96.8° to 98.6° Fahrenheit), depending on the person.
If someone’s core body temperature goes higher, “the body’s primary response to heat is to try and get rid of it,” explains Jonathan Samet. He’s the dean of the Colorado School of Public Health in Aurora. To get rid of excess heat, blood vessels in the skin dilate, or expand. At the same time, the heart begins beating faster. That pushes blood flow to the skin. There, the blood can release heat to cool down. Meanwhile, sweating kicks in to cool the skin.
When people experience high temperatures again and again, their bodies can get better at shedding excess heat. That’s why someone can move from cold Minnesota to steamy Florida and get used to the higher heat and humidity.
But there is a limit to how much the body can adjust. That limit depends on an individual’s health, as well as the temperature and humidity outside. If the outside temps are hotter than the body, blood at the skin won’t release heat. And where humidity is high, sweating won’t cool the skin. That’s because the sweat can’t evaporate. In 2008, two scientists suggested that humans can’t cool off well if they spend extended time at a wet-bulb temperature over 35° C, or 95° F. (Wet-bulb temperatures are measurements that combine heat, humidity and other factors.)
If the body has to keep dealing with heat without a break, it gets worn out. People can experience heat exhaustion, which causes weakness, dizziness and nausea. If a person still doesn’t cool off, heat stroke may occur. This signals that the body’s ability to regulate heat has broken down. This can allow core body temperature to climb as high as 40° C (104° F). Heat stroke can trigger seizures, convulsions or a coma. Without treatment, death may follow.
Article by Jeff Masters, PhD at Yale Climate Connections: May 2020: Earth's warmest May on record